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I don't put much stock in polls....

Posted By: sam on 2008-09-08
In Reply to: Convention bounce. Big Whoop. - Predictable and transient. sm

however, McCain is the first to break the 50% mark. And I trust Gallup and rasmussen more than I trust Fox polls, CNN polls or other media outlet polls. Although CBS did show McCain with a lead too. Still, it is encouraging, and a pretty big whoop...lol


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If you believe in polls good for you - The King of Polls said
So the polls only poll a few small areas with certain demographics. You trust that. Sure maybe they only poll Hollyweird and the other liberal cities. They also reflect all the phone voter registrations, so maybe to your cat and cartoon characters it matters that Obama is ahead. Me - I'll wait for election day to find out the truth about who is ahead in the race. I've said it before and I'll say it again (and glad to know Mr. Rassmusin backs me up on this one) - polls do not matter and do not reflect a real vision of who is ahead in the race.
The polls that supply that electoral map are just that....polls...sm
Polls mean less than nothing to me. Polls intimidate and mislead the voters, in my opinion. Thanks for asking.



Not sure I'd put much stock in

a not-very-scientific poll of under-18s.  I imagine they think it's...like... totally way-cool to be a hyphenated-American, whether they actually are, or not.  African-American, Asian-American, Hispanic-American,  Native-American, Vulcan-American..ya' know?  What ever....  


Back in the ླྀ's a friend of mine spent one summer with a mission group on an Indian reservation, and thereafter tried to pass herself off as full-blooded Sioux (which is unlikely when you're a blonde.)  It was just more interesting than being a white chick.


And why don't Caucasians get to use the hyphen?  Hardly anybody claims to be Irish-American, German-American, French-American, British-American (that sounds weird).


Maybe we should march and demand our rights.  Two!  Four!  Six!  Eight!  We wanna hyphenate!   Whitebread!  Whitebread!  Yeaaaaah!


stock market
Everybody was playing on the fear factor. Panic sets in and everybody starts selling. According to what I have heard, there are now great stock buys and that is what they are seeing.

Everybody gets so wrapped up in this "sky is falling" mentality and that is what the government hopes.

All their little nay sayers trying to scare the sense out of everybody but what they are hearing from their constiuents say do NOT say yes to the bill. The people do not believe that everything is going to h@ll in a hand basket if they vote NO to the bill.

I'm sure a lot more votes would have been yes yesterday if it had not been for their constituents faxing, calling, and e-mailing telling them they oppose such bailout.
Well here we go. Stock market -411.30 plus

Barney Fife writing proposal now to bail out the automakers with $25B stipulating GOVERNMENT OWNERSHIP.


The government is backing away from buying troubled mortgages and now are going to put it in an investment program taking capital. The facts changed.  His approach is to give banks enough cash to keep homes on the books and keep cash in the banks.


They will not bail out those people who shouldn't have taken out the loans in the first place.


American Express is jumping on the bailout wagon requesting $3.5B.


They really opened a can of worms here.


So the stock market's down.... sm
How bad is it?  According to the article linked below...........

With Thursday’s rout, $8.3 trillion in stock market wealth has been erased in the last 13 months.

For more info......  http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/21/business/21markets.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1
Stock Surge

March 13, 2009 8:42 AM


Citi Execs Make Killing On Stock Surge


Posted by Daniel Carty

 


Citigroup's recent upbeat news about its profitability has driven Wall Street's surge this week, but it also generated $2.2 million for four executives who bought millions of shares of company stock nine days ago, reports Bloomberg.

According to regulatory filings, director Roberto Hernandez bought 6 million shares on March 2 for an average price of $1.25. The stock touched a record low of $0.97 on March 5, but five days later CEO Vikram Pandit issued an internal memo saying the bank turned a profit over the first two months of the year. That news drove Citi shares up 47 percent to its Thursday close of $1.52, giving Hernandez a $1.7 million profit on paper, reports the news agency.

"You’re supposed to buy when everyone else is selling,” Bruce Foerster, a former Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. managing director who now runs South Beach Capital Markets in Miami, told Bloomberg. He said banks have internal monitoring systems to keep an eye on executive trades and prevent abuses.

Other executives include Latin America CEO Manuel Medina-Mora, who bought 1.5 million shares on March 3 at an average price of $1.24, Vice Chairman Lewis Kaden with 100,000 shares and controller John Gerspach with 65,000, reports Bloomberg.

In the last year, Citi's stock value has plummeted 95 percent as the company has suffered five straight quarters of losses.

Hernandez said he plans to step down from Citi's board after the bank's annual meeting in April but will keep his non-executive chairmanship of the company's Mexican bank, Banamex, reports Bloomberg.


So what!!!! Where were you when the stock market went down
Haven't you learned your lesson yet. You only comment on a good day and remain silent with the rest of the crats on a bad day.

How many people on this board have been telling you to quit commenting every time the market hiccups. But you feel this need to only comment when it goes up.

Your post is not worth the time reading.
Where women are little more than breeding stock???
If some women were a little more discerning about who they slept with and a little more careful about taking precautions, we would not have to fix 2000+ "oopses" in a day. So go right ahead...fund irresponsibility, infanticide, and baby killing. Knock yourself out. Make planned parenthood richer. don't you think there is something sick about making a profit from killing babies??
Hm-m-m. Anybody notice the stock market is up, and

financial gained 16% today. That's curious. Can someone explain why?


I just think it's because the stocks were so low yesterday that it was a buyer's market.


 


 


The stock market went from +250 to -150 after the vote. nm
.
Stock up on blankets and firewood...... sm
It's gonna be a looooong hard winter.

I'm thankful that I do have fireplace and I know how to cook on an open fire if I need to. I have 2 redneck sons who can go shoot us some vittles, that is until the gun police come and confiscate them. I really feel for those folks in the cities who have no alternative but electric heat and what they can cook on their electric stove.
Have you noticed how the stock market goes up
or how the media has been fueling that engine by pushing and pushing and obsessing over the cabinet appointments in search of dirt to dig up on them?

Obama has been trying to give voters a little reassurance, but I supposed lots of folks will find something wrong with that too.
The stock market will never, ever, see another dime of

Maybe you shouldn't put too much stock in left-

leaning polling companies, Mrs.  The fact, Obamanation's poll numbers are dropping and dramatically.  However, I don't think he cares a fig.  His real agenda is to destroy the economy, and when anarchy comes and his mask removed, he'll institute marshal law, and set himself up as dictator.  That's his plan and those who pull his marionette strings.  He is tooooooooooooo stoooooooooopid to do it on his own.  That's what he has surrounded himself with left-wing America hating "experts."  You'll be singing a different tune before long.


 


 


that's your problem. You put too much stock in a book written
Why do people say no flames please when they make inflamatory statements? You must like the attention.
Bush is NOT in charge of the stock market

Wall Street,. Nancy Pelosi, Barney Fife, and the others are making it worse with all their stupid ideas.


They WANT this to happen and give more stimulus checks to people so the people will think they are the greatest since apple pie. 


I don't see any of them trying to figure out what to do that will help us except throw money away to the groups that are keeping the money to pay their bonuses and take trips.


who cares about the stock market anymore? it's
my stock-based 401K is all but gone, and even if i had the money next year, or ever, not a cent of it will ever go back into the stock market's house of cards. so i personally dont give a rip what happens to it from here on out.
Don't forget to stock up on those tin foil hats!
x
And the stock market LOVES it while Boy Wonder flits around!
//
Excuse me? Sorry, I was diversifying my stock portfolio
don't care about the debate - just stated my opinion. And, yes, I like sitting on my butt and making money = "open your own company." Mmmm hmmm. Works like a charm, eh?
Senator Sold Stock Before Price Dropped

Martha Stewart comes to mind.


Shares Fell Two Weeks Later



By Jonathan M. Katz
Associated Press
Wednesday, September 21, 2005; Page A03



Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, a potential presidential candidate in 2008, sold all his stock in his family's hospital corporation about two weeks before it issued a disappointing earnings report and the price fell nearly 15 percent.


Frist held an undisclosed amount of stock in Hospital Corporation of America, based in Nashville, the nation's largest for-profit hospital chain. On June 13, he instructed the trustee managing the assets to sell his HCA shares and those of his wife and children, said Amy Call, a spokeswoman for Frist.







 

 

 

 

 


 

Frist's shares were sold by July 1 and those of his wife and children by July 8, Call said. The trustee decided when to sell the shares, and the Tennessee Republican had no control over the exact time they were sold, she said.


HCA shares peaked at midyear, climbing to $58.22 a share on June 22. After slipping slightly for two weeks, the price fell to $49.90 on July 13 after the company announced its quarterly earnings would not meet analysts' expectations. On Tuesday, the shares closed at $48.76.


The value of Frist's stock at the time of the sale was not disclosed. Earlier this year, he reported holding blind trusts valued at $7 million to $35 million.


Blind trusts are used to avoid conflicts of interest. Assets are turned over to a trustee who manages them without divulging any purchases or sales and reports only the total value and income earned to the owner.


To keep the trust blind, Frist was not allowed to know how much HCA stock he owned, Call said, but he was allowed to ask for all of it to be sold.


Frist, a surgeon first elected to the Senate in 1994, had been criticized for maintaining the holdings while dealing with legislation affecting the medical industry and managed care. Call said the Senate Select Committee on Ethics has found nothing wrong with Frist's holdings in the company in a blind trust.


To avoid any appearance of a conflict of interest, Senator Frist went beyond what ethics requires and sold the stock, Call said. Asked why he had not done so before, she said, I don't know that he's been worried about it in the past.


An HCA spokesman said the company had no part in Frist's decision.


Frist's father, Thomas, founded the company, and his brother, Thomas Jr., is a director and leading stockholder. The family is worth $1.1 billion, according to Forbes magazine.


HCA -- formerly known as Columbia HCA Healthcare Corp. -- has been a top contributor to the senator's campaigns, donating $83,450 since 1989, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.


The sale of the shares was first reported by Congressional Quarterly.



Guess that 1-day stock market rally didn't exactly
x
The economy was ruined by corporate greed, stock
* nm *
They're the laughing stock of the journalistic community. LOL
nm
don't stock investors have a lot to loose if dems get in the white house again?
just asking because this company's business is investments and stocks
I saw Jim Cramer this morning too. I have J&J stock and my 401K through Merrill Lynch
I am really upset and not sure what to do.

Stock Market diving since Obama spoke today.
nm
McCain has fogotten the stock market crash, mortgage/credit crisis,
unemployment rates, job losses, stagnant wages, rising prices in gas, food, health care, etc, etc, etc.
Take a look at these polls.sm
Just to give you an idea, take Denver's Rocky Mountain News poll (the state is very conservative) below, and look at the results. Almost every poll I have seen shows large percentages of Americans think the same way as the theorists.

http://blogs.rockymountainnews.com/denver/rockytalklive/archives/2006/08/the_government_and_911_2.html#more

Here is another one from Ed Schultz at Air America with a 50/50 split.

http://www.wegoted.com/index.asp
Polls
Make that alter-ego. Changing names according to post content = literary license. I'm sure you've heard of it before, being so intimately acquainted with the literary world and all. Makes things a bit more intriguing. Enables one to dial back rabid mad-dog rhetoric.

Case in point. You don't launch into your "5-paragraph volleys" unless you think you are talking to GT. As BW, I enjoy the luxury of not having to drag out an entire arsenal of put-downs just to make myself understood, since you can’t quite figure out who you are talking to. Usually I am pretty good about revealing the aliases eventually, but not always. That is another prerogative of free speech.

BTW, when you lift content and ideas from somebody else's post, it's customary to use quotes. Disciple? Shades of the gospel according to Saint Hannity. Another suggestion would be that when you plagiarize thought or content, at least be careful not to put it into responses addressed to the original author.

Yes, Congress has a lower rating than Bush. He wields a powerful weapon that empowers him to obstruct, stall and reverse any sort of viable legislative initiatives. It's called the veto pen. In this last session, he has used it 8 times but Congress has managed to override him on 4 of those vetoes. They at have at least shown more ability than Bush to cross the aisle and engage themselves in effective bipartisan initiatives and convince them to vote against their fearless leader.

You and the pubs make no excuses for being too inept at reaching consensus (a decidedly American concept). Obstruction, stalling and reversals are akin to dodges, deceive and deflections. They are the strategies used by petty dictators and their parties in a setting of “might makes right,” that divide and conquer approach, rather than taking the high road and exerting the effort or harboring the desire to create a representative government body. Bipartisanship has never been his forte anyway. No surprise there.

Polls are interesting, but not terribly reliable, given the problems that arise when you start to consider the source, sift through bias, skewing and the like. More than likely, the polls offer the most reliable reflection of public opinion would be the approval ratings of the candidates, not that status quo that is destined to be decimated come November. Most dems are just about as frustrated with the whole mess as you are. On that we can agree. But my take on approval ratings, at least in terms the current state of affairs in Congress and the executive branch, is that the low numbers reflect a much more deep-seated frustration and anger toward being lied to about the war and the incalculable costs in terms of human life as well as tax dollars, the state of the economy and the perception that nobody anywhere is doing anything, typical of a lame duck in a campaign year. The nation as a whole is in a really bad mood, to be sure. They simply don't approve of anything, at the moment.

More than likely, this will play itself with a major overhaul on both sides of the aisle. Who comes out on top in Congress in terms of numbers is anybody’s guess.

Polls are even at 42%
per a CBS poll taken on Wednesday, so this does not include Palin's speech or McCain's acceptance speech. 
Polls & More

Remember, this is the party that prides itself on being "tolerant."  Yeah, sure.  How tolerant have they been of anything a conservative has to say?  This why they lie in wait here, so the few times I even bother to take the time (more like waste it) to post something, I try to make the subject line not stand out as a "right-winger" view.


This board is no better than DailyKos, HuffingtonPost, etc.  Go to those sites and see how well the libs behave. I look at this forum very seldom now after seeing what the bulk of my industry thinks and how totally nasty they behave.  They make having a cat fight look like a tea party.


While polls mean almost nothing to me, Rasmussen is a very reputable one.  Below is from Media Resarch Center (excellent; Bret Bozell, Libertarian).  Included in the article are links for a great deal of info for anyone interested.  Nasty posts, etc. mean nothing to me, so do as you please.  I've made my pitstop here for the day (or week), and see that each time I look here it's only gotten more nasty.


**********************************************************************************************
A new Rasmussen poll of 1,000 likely voters shows that by a
stunning five-to-one margin, Americans believe the media
are actively trying to help Barack Obama win the Presidential
Election.

The new poll comes on the heels of last week's survey that
discovered by a margin of 10 to 1, the public believes the
media are trying to hurt Republican Vice Presidential
nominee Sarah Palin.

Shockingly, Democrats and "unaffiliated" voters both believe
that journalists are attempting to help Obama.

For the complete CyberAlert report:

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10831&RID=16855646


Much has been made of Barack Obama's "lipstick on a pig" remark,
but few, if any worked harder to run cover for Democrat
Presidential hopeful more than MSNBC’s Chris Matthews, who
questioned if the comment "insults...everyone's intelligence?"

But did Matthews insult his viewers' intelligence on Monday,
when he accused Palin and Rudy Guiliani of using coded racist
language when they referred to Obama’s experience as a
"community organizer?"

For the full CyberAlert report:

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10832&RID=16855646

Is CNN the talking parrot on the shoulder of the Democrat Party?

A closer look reveals the "best political team on television"
parroting the Democrats dismal view of the economy by mimicking
the claim that the Republicans are shying away from the issue.
In fact, in true parrot form, CNN repeated the charge at least
12 times during its September 4 coverage.

For the complete Business & Media Institute report:

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10833&RID=16855646


Haven't yet signed up for The Business & Media Institute's Balance
Sheet? It’s a free, weekly e-mail newsletter auditing media coverage
of business and economic issues. Packed with analysis of the top
issues in the news from a free-market perspective, it is essential
reading for everyone who wants to know what the media aren't
telling you.

The Balance Sheet also delivers expert commentary and links to
valuable resources. Click here to sign up:

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10834&RID=16855646

P.S: MRC's exclusive, special report "Obama's Margin of Victory:
The Media" is shipping. If you haven't yet reserved your copy
of this 60 page booklet that shines the white-hot light on the
media's overt role in Obama's meteoric rise to prominence do so
now by clicking here:

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10835&CID=500&RID=16855646


********
MRC News Report
09/11/08
********

***Brent Bozell's Syndicated Columns

MSNBC's Doomed 'Experiment'

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10836&RID=16855646

Toxic Beverly Hills

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10837&RID=16855646


***CNSNews.com

Passage of Year Makes Petraeus Look Good, Congressional Critics Look Bad

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10838&RID=16855646

Moms Say Palin Is Role Model for All Women

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10839&RID=16855646

Chavez Hails End of ‘Yankee Hegemony’ As Russian Bombers Arrive

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10840&RID=16855646

Palin Stars at Virginia Rally, Then Heads Home

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10841&RID=16855646

Biden's Bishop Seeks Prayers to Help Biden Become Pro-Life

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10842&RID=16855646

Democrat Leader Raises Specter of Government Shutdown over Oil Drilling

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10843&RID=16855646


***MRC.org

By 5-to-1 Public Thinks Most Journalists Trying to Elect Obama

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10844&RID=16855646

Matthews: Obama's 'Pig' Not Sexist, 'Community Organizer' Racist

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10845&RID=16855646

CNN Labels Palin's Environmental Stances 'Outside the Mainstream'

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10846&RID=16855646

'Non-Partisan' Liberal Group's Critique of Palin Cited by CNN

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10847&RID=16855646

ABC's Brian Ross Highlights Angry Librarians Opposed to Palin

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10848&RID=16855646

MSNBC Hosts Mock and Distort Prayer Request by Sarah Palin

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10849&RID=16855646

CBS Highlights Dem's Anti-Palin Plea: 'We've Got to Go After Her'

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10850&RID=16855646

NYT's Herbert: "Arch-Conservative" Clarence Thomas' "Self-Hatred"

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10851&RID=16855646

Couric Uses sex Scandal to Show Bush Admin 'Close' to Big Oil

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10852&RID=16855646


***Culture and Media Institute

Newsweek's Female Columnists Pile on Palin

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10853&RID=16855646

The Cost of Killing Palinzilla

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10854&RID=16855646

Palin Heat Threatens Planet

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10855&RID=16855646

Crude MTV Award Host Mocks Palin, Purity

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10856&RID=16855646

Stop the Presses! Palin's Church Holds to Bible's Teaching on
Homosexuality!

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10857&RID=16855646


***TimesWatch.org

Public Editor Says Palin Coverage Fair, Parenting Angle "Legitimate"

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10858&RID=16855646

Obama's Terrorist Colleague Bill Ayers Makes Cameo in Story on Education

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10859&RID=16855646

Rev. Jeremiah Wright Compares Obama to Virgin Mary -- Times Doesn't Blink

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10860&RID=16855646

Seelye Shrugs Off Dem. Ed Rendell's "Big Lie" Smear of McCain

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10861&RID=16855646

Bob Herbert Unleashed: "Arch-Conservative" Clarence Thomas's "Self-Hatred"

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10862&RID=16855646


***Business and Media Institute - businessandmedia.org

CNN Parrots Dems on Republicans and Economy

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10863&RID=16855646

Greenspan: Recession Still ཮ Percent or More' Likely

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10864&RID=16855646

Media Error Causes Steep Loss for United Airlines

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10865&RID=16855646

ABC: Manmade Global Warming Causing Worse Allergies

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10866&RID=16855646

CEO: Fannie/Freddie Bailout Makes America 'More Communist than China'

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10867&RID=16855646


***NewsBusters.org

Covering for Dems: NYT Reporter Certain Obama's 'Pig' Wasn't Palin

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10868&RID=16855646

WaPo Religion Blogger Attacks Sarah Palin's Religion

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10869&RID=16855646

MRC's Bozell Discusses 'Lipstick' Smear, MSNBC Meltdown on 'Fox & Friends'

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10870&RID=16855646

Mitchell: Obama 'Clearly' Wasn't Talking About Palin

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10871&RID=16855646

Joe Klein: 'Obama is the precise opposite of Mountain Man Todd Palin'

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10872&RID=16855646

Former Time Columnist Unveils New Obama Spokesman: Buckwheat

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10873&RID=16855646


***Worst of The Week

The Trashing of Sarah Palin

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10874&RID=16855646

*** NewsBusted

For a Lighter Look at the News:  Watch the Latest Episode of NewsBusted!

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10875&RID=16855646

***Eyeblast.tv

For the best in video, check out Eyeblast.tv!

http://www.mrcaction.org/r.asp?U=10876&RID=16855646

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How much do you believe polls?
Yahoo had some info on the Rasumussen Polls and I went to their website to check it out: www.rasmussenreports.com

They have an electoral college page that shows the current "vote" at 248-163 in favor of Obama. I'm going to have to do some research and see how accurate polls were in previous presidential elections. They have it broken down by state and it is pretty interesting, if numbers are your thing!

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update
For all who believe in polls

I don't believe in polls but a lot of posters like to use them to try to make some sort of point....


Today's Gallup poll (one of the most trusted) - Obama 49, McCain 47 -


Like I say....way to close to predict a winner.  I also heard some students after last nights debate that said they were still undecided said if they had to vote right now they'd choose McCain.  Goes to show not every single person/young person voting Obama.


polls
Thanks, it is

49.5 for Obama
42.7 for McCain.

Obama is 6.8 points ahead.
Well, actually there are polls to confirm this
I don't believe the word "sick" was part of the poll but it comes pretty darn close to the majority of America's current view of this administration and this war.
These polls are so fickle.

Up and down, up and down. 


I just don't know if he can stand the heat.  I have so far not been impressed with Obama.  Right now it seems that people are using him against a Hillary vote and not necessarily for anything he says or stands for.  Is it just me, or does the man lack conviction or passion of any kind?  He doesn't ever really say anything of substance and not very good at defending what positions he has taken a stand on.  I'm not sure if I want someone of so little experience as President. 


This is how I would like to see it play out:  HIllary elected and breaks some of the ice by implanting some changes followed up by either Edwards or Obama at the next election to implement more changes.  I say this because I believe people inherently don't like change and they especially don't like fast change.  So if Obama or Edwards were to beat out Hillary and try to implement such sweeping changes, I don't think those changes could sustain themselves.  Obama doesn't strike me as being very forceful and may buckle, and Edwards comes across as too forceful and I think would have trouble during their administrations amongst their peers.


If polls are samples of what is to come...
that is very good for McCain. Still ahead in the popular vote and making big gains in swing states. So...great. If polls are a sample of what is to come...it is good news for McCain.
Polls as of today....
Gallup:
Gallup Daily: McCain 47%, Obama 45%

McCain retains a three-point advantage for the third straight day, 50% to 47% (see recent daily results).

Real Clear Politics
RCP Average 09/05 - 09/13 -- McCain 47.5 Obama 45.2 McCain +2.3

McCain has also diminished Obama's lead in many of the "swing states" and is even within 2 points in Pennsylvania, which is unheard of. Pennsylvania nearly always goes democratic. McCain leads in Ohio. He has gone into the lead in New Mexico and Nevada. That has been steady for several days now.

All that being said...the polls said Kerry should have won many states handily...but he didn't. Polls can be very misleading. We won't know until election night...although this is the first time in how long that a Republican was leading in the polls at this point?

It is a very interesting campaign, that's for darned sure.
Polls are usually wrong. I don't put much
<>
latest polls

SP sinking . . . losing her "oh look at the shiny new object" diversionary value.  Obama on the upswing . . . and these were before the latest financial fiasco which McCain and Gramm had a hand in by deregulating financial institutions.


 


latest polls
Obama up in swing states FL and PA due to financial crisis. 
Polls don't mean didly
Unless you only keep track of them when your candidate is up. However, don't know where you got this poll, because the one I saw today said FL is very tight with McCain leading by 4%. They also added not to get to comfortable with that because polls change on an hourly basis. But in all the polls they put up there McCain was ahead by at least 4 points or more in most of the states. But like I say, polls are polls and they don't mean diddly.
If your going to go by polls then use more than just the ones that favors
As of today - Taken from polling websites and CNN

Gallup -
Obama 47, McCain 44

Rassmussen -
Obama 38, McCain 58

Battleground Tracking - Obama 46, McCain 48

American Research Group - Obama 41, McCain 53

In Ohio CNN poll gives McCain a 3 point lead (48-45)

In NC McCain has a 10-point lead

In Indiana McCain has a 6 point lead

Wisconsin has voted for dems in the last four elections, this time Obama only has a 3 point lead

My point is whether McCain or Obama is ahead it doesn't mean diddly and by posting only the polls which favor your candidate while ruling out the others is just another spread of propaganda and does not validate your claims.
Polls mean nothing. Don't trust them. - sm
Polls have always been used by the media to sway people to vote one way or the other. I have no idea how they can even count them as reputible. The real poll is when people vote and I have never heard anyone say that they are voting a certain way because of the polls. What we are hearing on the news is made up to fit whichever news station you ware watching and from what I see and read on the internet the polls change hourly.
I'll believe polls when
I see how many illegals are in them.
I too do not put much faith in polls.
Did these polls have John Kerry ahead at this time during the last election.  They also showed the Nixon was ahead of Kennedy.  We will find out when we find out.  Just go vote for who you think is best and hope for the best.
The polls are not accurate...
slanted for obama like everything else the liberal media tells you. People (myself included) tend to believe what they want to believe
Yeah? I saw polls where they were only

2 points away from each other. I've seen polls where they were 5 points away all in the same day.


Don't count on the polls for the decision and I don't think you should be so smug about it. He may still lose. Then what are you going to say?


does anyone know anything about registering at the polls?
I just got a call from my daughter who lives in Arizona. She went to vote this morning and was told she was not registered, even though she has voted there before! So they went and had her register on site but then told her she could fill out a "provisional ballot" but that her vote would not count! What??? Does anyone know anything about provisional ballots or the whole "registering at the polls situation? Please, reliable info only. No bashing! I would appreciate it. Thanks in advance.